Oil Price over $60 - Fuel Economy Vehicles
in Demand.
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VIENNA
(AP) - Oil prices vaulted over the $60 mark
Monday to trade at record highs amid concerns
that supplies would not meet demand, especially
in the United States, the world's largest energy
consumer.
Analysts said that with $60 a barrel no longer
a threshold - and amid continued concerns about
refining capacities - prices appear set to go
even higher.
After settling at $59.84 a barrel Friday, the
front-month August contract for crude smashed
through the psychologically important $60 barrier
in heavy Asian and European trading on the New
York Mercantile Exchange.
Other petroleum products followed crude's rise.
Despite a traditional seasonal lull, heating
oil was 1.66 cent at $1.6670. Gasoline surged
to $1.6640 a gallon, up 0.83 cent.
On London's International Petroleum Exchange,
August Brent was up 40 cents at $58.76 a barrel.
Nymex crude had briefly touched the $60 mark
on several occasions last week before Friday's
settlement price, the highest since futures
began trading on the exchange in 1983.
"The psychology of the market is that once
$60 is breached, then there is tendency to test
how much higher it can go, or how long $60 can
be sustained," said Victor Shum, petroleum
analyst at energy consultants Purvin & Gertz.
"There's a lot of speculative activity.
It is a red-hot market," said Shum.
Vienna's PVM Oil Associates shared that view.
"All looks set for oil prices to continue
to remain high, which capacity tightness in
many sectors of the industry means that any
serious glitches are bound to make prices shoot
(even) higher," its daily energy market
report said. PVM also noted that the election
of a perceived hard-liner as Iran's president
and market speculation likely also were contributing
to bullish sentiment.
After a meeting with Dutch Prime Minister Jan
Peter Balkenende, Nigerian President Olusegun
Obasanjo said Nigeria is prepared to increase
oil production if asked to do so by OPEC. Obasanjo
said Nigeria prefers predictable oil prices.
"We do believe the prices of oil should
neither be too high nor too low," he said.
Oil prices are more than 60% higher compared
to a year ago, but would still have to surpass
$90 to breach the all-time, inflation-adjusted
high set 25 years ago.
Much of the worry surrounding crude is demand-driven
speculation, analysts say, and it primarily
surrounds how much supply there is currently
and how much spare there is in the event of
a production glitch.
With demand expected to average 84 million barrels
a day in 2005, there is not enough of a supply
cushion to shield the market from any prolonged
output disruption. Excess production capacity
is estimated to be about 1.5 million barrels
a day, most of it in Saudi Arabia.
Another reason for trepidation among traders
is the limited refining capacity in the United
States, which is increasingly reliant on imports
of gasoline. Therefore, any glitch in the U.S.
refining system puts more strain on the global
supply chain.
Still, record-setting prices have yet to cool
demand for gasoline in the United States, where
consumption is up - in a time when prices are
40% higher compared to a year ago.
"These high prices really have not significantly
dented demand particularly in the United States
market," said Shum. "U.S. refineries
in the past week have been running very full
at 96, 97%."
The Lundberg survey, which tracks gasoline prices
from 7,000 gas stations in the United States,
said Sunday prices at pumps across the country
were up an average of 8 cents a gallon for the
two-week period ending June 24.
With the summer driving season underway, the
average retail price for all three grades of
gas hit $2.24 a gallon on Friday, up from $2.16
on June 10.
OPEC President Sheik Ahmed Fahd Al Ahmed Al
Sabah over the weekend began consultations with
fellow members about raising the ceiling for
oil production, but said they would monitor
prices further first.
"I think we've got to wait for a while
to see exactly what is the behavior of the prices,
because until now it's not clear," said
Al Sabah.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
raised its production quota by 500,000 barrels
in mid-June, bringing the official output target
to 28 million barrels a day. However, traders
brushed off the move as insignificant since
it would further deplete the cartel's razor-thin
supply cushion and because its members were
already pumping above the quota.
Including Iraq, which is not bound by the quota,
OPEC's production is close to 30 million barrels
a day.
Top
10 Most Fuel-Efficient SUVs and Pickups for
2005
In
the past, new truck shoppers were more concerned
with power, cargo capacity and off-road ability
than fuel economy. Now that gas prices are hitting
all-time highs, however, fuel-efficiency has
become an important issue for buyers, even those
who need a vehicle capable of hauling more than
just a bag of groceries. With this in mind,
we've compiled a list of the top 10 most fuel-efficient
pickups and SUVs sold in the U.S. today, based
on the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA)
miles-per-gallon ratings for city and highway
travel. The only hybrid vehicle to make the
list is the new Ford Escape, which offers stellar
economy for such a versatile vehicle. Later
in 2005, a hybrid version of Toyota's Highlander
will also arrive - likely as a 2006 model. Our
hierarchy is based on the EPA's formula for
combined fuel economy: 55 percent of city mpg
rating plus 45 percent of highway mpg rating.
The rating for each vehicle below is expressed
in mpg as a city/highway ratio. With exceptions
for the Dodge Magnum, Ford Escape Hybrid, Honda
CR-V, Jeep Liberty Diesel, Subaru Baja and Toyota
Highlander, all ratings apply to base models
equipped with a manual transmission - and for
pickups, a regular cab/standard bed configuration.
Likewise, all ratings apply to 2WD models, with
the exceptions being all the Subarus and the
Jeep Liberty Diesel. You'll notice that some
decidedly carlike vehicles made the list this
year, such as Chrysler's PT Cruiser and the
Dodge Magnum, and that's because the EPA classifies
them as SUVs - even though they're basically
station wagons.
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